Unofficial 2015 World Title Scenarios

We hope we're good at math

Jbay_2015_947Mick Fanning, your frontrunner. Photo: Corey Wilson

You know that scene in Good Will Hunting where Matt Damon solves an incomplete equation left on a blackboard by a college professor as an open challenge to his students? Great scene. Great movie. Anyway, Jimmicane is like Matt Damon. The college is like the internet. The equation is like the 2015 World Title race — except it’s not supposed to be an open challenge, and the the WSL will probably solve it tomorrow.

Until then, here’s what Jimmy came up with. —Brendan Buckley

Screen Shot 2015-10-15 at 4.55.55 PMClick image to enlarge.

With two events remaining — Moche Rip Curl Pro Portugal and Billabong Pipeline Masters — here are the 2015 WSL Men’s World Title scenarios.

-Seven surfers are in mathematical contention to win the 2015 World Title going into Portugal.
-Kelly is an extreme long-shot. He would have to win Portugal and Pipe, while also hoping Mick and Adriano don’t place higher than 13th in either event.
-If Mick wins Portugal, Adriano needs to finish 9th or better to send the World Title race to Pipe. Everyone else will be hopeless.
-If Mick gets 2nd in Portugal, Owen will need a 3rd or higher to stay in contention for Pipe. Julian, Gabriel and Filipe will need a 2nd or better.
-If Mick gets 3rd in Portugal, Owen will need a 5th or higher to stay in contention. Julian, Gabriel and Filipe will need a 3rd or better.
-If Mick gets 5th in Portugal, Owen will need a 9th or higher to stay in contention. Julian, Gabriel and Filipe will need a 5th or better.
-If Mick gets 9th in Portugal, Owen, Julian, Gabriel and Filipe will need a 9th or better to stay in contention.

-If Adriano wins in Portugal, Owen will need to finish 2nd to stay in contention at Pipe. Julian, Gabriel and Filipe would be eliminated.
-If Adriano gets 2nd in Portugal, Owen, Julian and Filipe will need a 3rd or higher to stay in contention. Gabriel will need a 2nd or 1st.
-If Adriano gets 3rd in Portugal, Owen, Julian and Filipe will need a 5th or higher to stay in contention. Gabriel will need a 3rd or better.
-If Adriano gets 5th in Portugal, Owen, Julian and Filipe will need a 9th or higher to stay in contention. Gabriel will need a 5th or better.
-If Adriano gets 9th in Portugal, Owen will still be in contention for Pipe. Julian, Gabriel and Filipe will need a 9th or better to stay alive for Pipe.

With two events remaining — Target Maui Pro — here are the 2015 WSL Women’s World Title scenarios.

-If Carissa gets a 13th or 9th, Courtney needs a 3rd to claim the title.
-If Carissa gets a 5th, Courtney needs a win to claim the title.
-If Carissa gets a 5th and Courntey gets a 2nd, they’ll be tied and it will go to a surf off.
-If Carissa gets a 3rd, Courtney needs a 1st to claim the title.
-If Carissa makes the final, it is over folks!

Note: We might have missed something here. If you see something, say something. Comment section is below.